On Monday, nearly all opinion polls 2022 anticipated a BJP victory in Uttar Pradesh, with all Booth return surveys predicting a 288-326 seat majority for the ruling party, a repetition of 2017.
If these numbers hold true on March 10, the BJP’s pitch of free rations, the ‘bulldozer’ action to drive out the mafia, women’s safety and security, the Narendra Modi face and Yogi UP Exit Poll Results 2022 LIVE, Adityanath’s Hindutva pitch with the ’80-20′ slogan would have done the trick for the BJP.
The party leaders feel that the silent women voters in Uttar Pradesh have firmly backed the BJP because of free rations for two years during the Covid-19 outbreak.
The inherent ‘fear’ of reviving the state’s claimed lawlessness and hooliganism during the Samajwadi Party’s rule.
According to exit polls, the Samajwadi Party will put up a strong fight in comparison to 2017, when it won only 47 seats, but will fall far short of a majority.
This could be eerily similar to Tejashwi Yadav’s election results in Bihar. If this happens in Uttar Pradesh, it will be despite widespread dissatisfaction with the BJP government over unemployment, roaming cattle, and rising fuel prices.
For a wider caste coalition, the Samajwadi Party teamed up with the RLD in west UP and Om Prakash Rajbhar’s SBSP in east UP, as well as some major OBC leaders.BJP also jumped ship to the SP. But, exit polls predict this was not enough.
According to ground reports with the BJP, many BJP leaders privately told News18.com during the campaign that the alliance will slip from 325 seats in 2017 to about 230-270 seats this time and return to power for a second consecutive term. Exit surveys show that the majority of people believe the same thing.
These leaders argue that the final number is irrelevant because this will be the first time since 1985 that a party has been able to repeat its government in Uttar Pradesh, and even strong Chief Ministers like Kalyan Singh, Rajnath Singh, Mulayam Singh Yadav, Mayawati, and even Akhilesh Yadav have failed to do so in the past.
CM Yogi Adityanath, on the other hand, insisted throughout the campaign that his alliance will win would win over 300 seats in these elections.
The exit poll conducted by Axis-My India points in this direction.
The Samajwadi Party has been enthused by large crowds at Akhilesh Yadav’s rallies and road shows over the last two months. SP thinks that the cyclical nature of UP politics, combined with Yadav’s use of the “caste politics” card, will propel it back to power.
In Uttar Pradesh, nearly all exit polls forecast a crushing defeat for Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party and the Priyanka Gandhi Vadra-led Congress, indicating that the election was a bipolar battle between the BJP and the SP.
According to exit polls, the Congress’ ‘Ladki hun Lad Sakti Hun’ campaign did not ring a bell in UP. Mayawati’s aspirations of attracting Brahmin and Muslim voters appear to have backfired. Not translated on the ground, the exit polls indicate. According to polls, Jatav voters may have remained loyal to the BSP.
If Yogi Adityanath wins, as projected by exit polls, he will join Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Home Minister Amit Shah in the top troika of the BJP’s national leadership. Modi had backed Yogi as Chief Minister in 2017 and as the face of the Prime Ministership in 2022. If these exit polls hold true on March 10, Yogi, who alone held over 200 rallies and road shows during the campaign, might emerge as the country’s most powerful chief minister.